The crew discusses the Senate passage of the Inflation Reduction Act, new polling on how Americans think about crime and gun violence, and how state-level debates over abortion bans are playing out. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. They also check in on the results from two recent primary elections in Ohio and announce the launch of FiveThirtyEights Redistricting Tracker. They also discuss Democratic lawmakers' varying views on how to approach Senate rules and the filibuster. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Smialek argues that over the past century, through successive crises, the Fed has accumulated the power to choose winners and losers . You have to take and pass a grammar test, then submit a transcription template before you can get assignments from Rev. Then Nathaniel Rakich and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux join to discuss how abortion has played a role in elections this year and when we should know the results of next months midterms. The recall effort ultimately failed by a sizable margin. They also discuss moderate Senate Democrats' push to amend some of the provisions in the American Rescue plan and look at the politics and science behind the push to loosen covid-19 restrictions in states. This is the second episode. No products in the cart. Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. Ron DeSantis and former President Donald Trump. As we discussed earlier this week, House Democrats plan on passing a one point nine trillion dollar American rescue plan by the end of the week. 266, the . This is why we are coming every fortnight on your podcast platforms to help you make sense of the new and now. The team also discusses public opinion on gun laws after recent mass shootings in Texas, New York and California. They also discuss the politics of reparations after a Democratic proposal in the House to study reparations for slavery was voted out of committee for the first time since it was introduced in Congress in 1989. The crew digs into why Democrats underperformed in a special election in Texas. They also consider whether abortion as an issue will motivate voters in other elections this fall and look at the primary winners in Arizona, Missouri, Michigan and Washington. Feb. 28GLASTONBURY When Jonathan K. Luiz starts work as town manager March 31, he will be making $190,000 per year. geoffrey.skelley: After West Virginia, the most vulnerable Democratic seats are Ohio and Montana. On Thursday, the Supreme Court wrapped up its first term with a 6-3 conservative majority on the bench. The posting for the podcast's freelance audio editor position can be found here. The report relies on advanced climate modeling to illustrate where global warming is headed. PODCAST-19 brings you the latest evidence on the COVID-19 pandemic. In this installment, Robert Crews, a History professor from Stanford University, joins to reflect on the history of the Taliban and the current political landscape in Afghanistan. In this installment, the crew plays a game of midterm trivia and analyzes the press coverage surrounding the latest decline in life expectancy. 10 Wednesday AM Reads. LS 81 Global Rank TOP 0.01% ABOUT THIS PODCAST Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Legal scholar Kate Shaw also digs into some of the specifics of the terms major cases, particularly on election law. 71 Episodes Share Follow Seasons About 38 minutes | Feb 16, 2023 The Hero Who Rode His Segway Off a Cliff Steve Jobs called It "the most amazing piece of technology since the PC." According to Jeff Bezos It was not only "revolutionary," but infinitely commercial. On the final day of COP26, we look at whether these types of international agreements actually shape countries climate policies and whether there are other factors that are more important. What do we know, how confidently do we know it and what do we know we dont know? 00:14:18 - Federal health agencies asked states to pause in their use of the Johnson & Johnson vaccine while U.S. officials investigate reports of an extre Happy holidays! They also debate whether a poll asking Americans to choose what they think is the best decade of their lives is a good or bad use of polling. And lastly, they check-in on the gubernatorial recall efforts in California that are very likely to result in a recall election for Governor Gavin Newsom. gold rush supreme second chance winners. New York City-based political reporters Gloria Pazmino and Erin Durkin discuss the current lay of the land in the Democratic mayoral primary and the issues that are motivating voters with less than a month until the election. The crew breaks down the results of the June 7 primaries. They also ask whether we should be skeptical of polls showing Democrats performing well in parts of the Midwest where polls have repeatedly underestimated Republicans. Although much of our elections-related attention is already trained on 2024, there are consequential elections happening this very calendar year. The crew dives into four major investigations into former president Donald Trumps actions, the legal consequences he could be facing, and how the American public is reacting. They also ask whether a new poll showing Biden's approval rating at just 33 percent deserves all the attention it's been getting. What do we know about the novel coronavirus, and what do we know we don't know? The Perks Workers Want Also Make Them More Productive, Democrats Are Open To Ditching Biden In 2024. American politics has changed a lot in the twenty years since the 9/11 terrorist attacks. Cardozo Law Professor Kate Shaw discusses that evidence and its legal ramifications. The crew follows up on last weeks Republican 2024 primary draft with its first Democratic primary draft. The crew looks at public opinion on the war in Afghanistan and the Biden administration's decision to withdraw U.S. troops as the country now faces a Taliban takeover. The crew discusses why Bidens favorability is falling and how much Democrats should worry about it. Samuel Charap is a senior political scientist at the RAND Corporation and author of the book Everyone Loses: The Ukraine Crisis and the Ruinous Contest for Post-Soviet Eurasia. is it illegal to wear military uniform in australia. In her new book, Limitless: The Federal Reserve Takes On A New Age Of Crisis, New York Times reporter Jeanna Smialek focuses on another unelected institution with a lot of power over American life: the Federal Reserve. They also discuss the accuracy of opinion polling conducted in authoritarian Russia and war-torn Ukraine. Just another site fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. With two new hosts, Anjali and Prateek, the second season of The Big Story will feature longer and well-rounded discussions with experts across science, culture, technology, politics, and more. They also address a listener question that suggests Republicans achieve their policy goals more often than Democrats. The crew discusses what we've learned from President Biden's first 100 days in office and from his first address to a joint session of Congress. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. The crew breaks down Rep. Liz Cheney's loss, what comes next, and who's currently up and down in Alaska. And what does Florida's new voting law tell us about the GOP's efforts to change the way Americans vote, and the party's larger motivations? It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. While it appears unlikely that 17 Republicans will join Democrats in voting to convict the former president, the evidence presented could help shape the views of the public regarding what happened at the Capitol on January 6, 2021. Political scientists Yanna Krupnikov and John Barry Ryan suggest that focusing only on the Left/Right divide in American politics is reductive. COVID-19 has pushed Americans into more uncertain territory than most have ever known. They also ask whether a recent Gallup poll reporting that a record number of Americans are thriving is a good or bad use of polling. In Matthew Continetti's new book, The Right: The Hundred Year War For American Conservatism, he argues that in order to understand where the right is heading, you have to understand where it's been. James Acton is a physicist and co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. They also discuss how incumbents have been faring overall in this midterms primaries. Progressive Democrats have struggled to break through in one of the most high-profile elections of the year: the Democratic primary for New York City mayor. Make sure you select the language your Podcast episode is recorded in when uploading your audio. By our estimates, the Democrat is on track to win by 45 points, compared to 30 points in '22 and 36 points in '20. twitter. Nate Silver and Galen Druke open the mailbag and answer listener questions, including how much it would cost to "fix polling" and why Vice President Harris is polling less favorably than President Biden. (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums . The board of directors voted Friday to accept the resignation of David Held, effective June 1, and will then offer him the same job on . The crew previews Californias primaries, which offer unique insight into the divides within the Democratic Party. MANAGER'S SALARY. They also introduce a new FiveThirtyEight collaboration with Ipsos aimed at polling Americans about the issues they care most about in the run up to the midterms. Galen and Nate open the mailbag to answer listeners questions about politics, polling and more. The crew speaks with professors Jane Junn and Karthick Ramakrishnan about the context of the Atlanta attacks and how Asian-American political participation has evolved in recent decades. During the span of 25 years, same-sex marriage went from being an unimaginable idea to settled law. 2023 ABC News Internet Ventures. Economics Professor at George Washington University, Tara Sinclair, joins to explain what is going on with the economy and the potential consequences of a spike in prices. The crew discusses how a bipartisan gun control deal was reached and if this unwritten legislation could be passed by the end of the year. Staff writer at The Atlantic Elaine Godfrey and political science professor Danny Hayes discuss the role local news plays in society and what happens when it erodes. The crew discusses what the political environment is likely to look like in 2022 based on history and current indicators. 01:06 PM. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. The crew discusses the results of the primary elections in Georgia, Texas, Alabama, Arkansas and Minnesota. Nate and Galen discuss the latest twists in the midterms and answer listener questions in this installment of "Model Talk." In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses the best way to poll Americans satisfaction with their own lives and the direction of the country. Upload your Podcast as an audio or video file to Type Studio in our menu. The crew debates the value of polling whether Americans want Biden and Trump to run again in 2024. The crew looks at the issues that have shaped the Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial races and rounds up some of the other local races and ballot measures around the country. The crew asks whether Biden's approval rating could be boosted by the American Rescue Plan and how popular he'd have to be to avoid a backlash at the midterms. The posting for the podcast's freelance audio editor position can be found here. They also take a look at the endorsements former President Trump has made in 2022 congressional primaries and discuss why worries about inflation can be so politically potent. Feb. 25, 2021. info. Commentators and politicos have given lots of hot takes on why Democrats did so poorly in Tuesday's election and what it portends for the 2022 midterms. Galen Druke discusses the context of these laws with Theodore Johnson, the Director of the Fellows Program at the Brennan Center for Justice. MAJORITY 255 REP SEATS 240 225 225 240 255 DEM SEATS 84 in 100 84 in 100 Republicans win Republicans win 16 in 100 16 in 100 . Listen at itun.es/i67M5bV. Two days after Election Day, control of the U.S. House and Senate still hangs in the balance as votes are tallied in the Western states. In this live taping of Model Talk in Washington, D.C., Nate and Galen break down the current forecasts for the Senate, House and gubernatorial races. With the benefit of hindsight and some time to breathe, Galen Druke reflects on key moments of the 2020 race with the authors of the new book, Lucky: How Joe Biden Barely Won The Presidency. The idea of the celebrity politician isnt going away just because former President Trump is out of office. The crew discusses what's in the "Freedom to Vote: John R. Lewis Act" and why Senate Democrats have taken it up despite unmoving opposition. The crew discusses why the country responded to the attacks the way it did and how healthy American democracy is today. Science reporter Maggie Koerth also joins to talk about shifting attitudes on climate change among Republicans. They also ask whether it's too early to conclude that the leak of a draft Supreme Court opinion overturning Roe has had little impact on the political environment. FiveThirtyEight Podcasts - FiveThirtyEight Podcasts Politics Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. They also check in on where the redistricting process stands around the country and ask what the two parties should be thankful for this Thanksgiving.