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But Mr Cook believes the boundaries work in his favour. Close to 60 per cent of Victorians said they were locked down for too long including 39 per cent of Labor voters. The latest Freshwater Strategy found the following reasons for voters voting against Dan Andrews: For the upcoming Victorian Election, the vote in person is fixed for Saturday, 26th November. 'None of this I'm presenting to you is fact, it's not confirmed, it's very much unconfirmed,' he said. Former Liberal Premier Jeff Kennett told Daily Mail Australia that Prime Minister Anthony Albanese would likely post Mr Andrews to New York as Australia's next consul-general to replace former NSW Liberal premier Nick Greiner. 'I do do things to be successful. "Daniel Snyder's demands anger NFL owners, . How Victorian Labor's failure on upper house electoral reform undermines democracy. Premier Daniel Andrews and Opposition Leader Matt Guy will go head-to-head in a Sky News People's Forum, taking questions from undecided voters live on TV and on SkyNews.com.au, on Tuesday . They guy had over 50 percent of the primary vote last time and every second person coming through should be saying 'I'm going for Dan', but it is just not happening.'. He's always buck passing and asking somebody else to take the blame,' he said. It is also fending off challenges from teal independents in the inner-city Liberal seats of Brighton, Caulfield, Sandringham and Kew, and in Hawthorn, where former Liberal MP John Pesutto is running after losing the seat to Labor in 2018. Cyclist Ryan Meuleman has engaged lawyer George Defteros to pursue the matter. Victoria's election is a Daniel Andrews referendum both sides hope it's good for them. In 2018, around 78% of the voters voted for the two parties but in 2022 the top two parties may poll 71% of the total votes. Mitchell said 'Labor is rattled, and when you have a look at the polls you can see why'. However, that would not be enough to sweep the divisive Victorian leader from office - with the Opposition requiring a seven per cent shift to win the election. It is more likely that Labor may be forced to form a minority government. I'm not going to disappear,' he said. Though these fissures are primed to . But without a federal Liberal government to campaign against, will the teals have as much success at the local level? Victoria's election has begun to get interesting. Close to half of Victorians, 48 per cent, hold an unfavourable view of the Premier while support for Mr Guy is 5 per cent less than his party and barely above the one quarter of Victorian voters who dont support either leader. Another minister in danger, according to the source, is Tourism, Sport and Major Events minister Steve Dimopoulos. Mr Cook said he was determined to stand outside the voting centre and speak to as many voters as he possibly could. log in. Even Carroll reported incidences of sexual harassment and assault in the 1980s and 90s. Wayne Flower, Melbourne Correspondent 06:28 GMT 15 Nov 2022 Stacks Price Prediction 2023: Will STX reach $100? These two polls have Labor further ahead, but there was a swing to the Coalition in Morgan. Pennsylvania, a Democratic gain, is the only state where party control has flipped, pending Georgia. But why was he rebuking Canadas prime minister in front of the TV cameras at the same forum, a moment that was watched avidly on video worldwide? Labor seats in the outer south-east including Cranbourne, Pakenham, Bass and Narre Warren North are considered the most volatile. 43% of the respondents were happy with the work done by Andrews and his Government during Covid. But Victorias Liberal Coalition has slipped back one point on its primary vote since 2018, according to the poll, meaning Labor remains ahead on 37 per cent to 34 per cent on the primary vote. Meanwhile the interim report of the Defence Strategic Review, being conducted by Stephen Smith and Angus Houston, has been given to the government, with the final report due in February. A Freshwater poll for The Financial Review, conducted November 3-6 from a sample of 1,012 by online methods, gave Labor a 56-44 lead, from primary votes of 37% Labor, 34% Coalition, 14% Greens and 15% for all Others. Last week advisors and security tried to stop cameras filming Andrews climbing a ladder at his announcement of the revival of the State Electricity Commission. Theres just something about how the bid came about that put people off: it looked like money bending the world to its will, with the event being held in winter in the middle of the European football season and the use of cheap, exploited labour to build the facilities. Questions about what IBAC is or is not doing are a matter for the independent agency.. Candidate nominations for the state election closed on Friday, and early voting begins today. Despite being in power for the last 2 terms, the incumbent Premier Daniel Andrews enjoys high approval amongst Victorians. On a two-party preferred vote, Labor was ahead 53% to 47% compare that with the 59% to 41% in late October. Its the hypocritical West, too, Why Xi bullied Trudeau but flattered Albanese. A Tyrannosaurus rex skeleton to be auctioned for up to $25 million has been quietly withdrawn just 10 days before it was due to go under the hammer because it had fake bones in it, The New York Times reports. In Victoria, the instant runoff voting method is followed. It was that informal., Kulin Nation Country (also known as Melbourne). Find out more about our policy and your choices, including how to opt-out. Xi hadnt even granted Trudeau a proper meeting at the G20. Ngunnawal Country (also known as Canberra). The 'swing is on' against Daniel Andrews' Labor government with the ABC projecting a three per cent shift toward the Coalition so far. Vic How would you rate Daniel Andrews' performance as Victorian Premier? 'Like so many other Victorians, we've got a few things happening on Saturday so we voted early and on the way to somewhere else,' the Premier wrote. An exclusive survey reveals Labor's primary vote is at a high of 42 per cent, just 1 percentage point lower than it was at the 2018 poll. And when Peter Larson, the companys president, perused Shen in Christies look-book ahead of the nail-biting auction this month, he couldnt help but notice some similarities. Dilbert (Daniel Stern) is interrogated by the police in Dilbert . Democrats perform better than expected in US midterms, but both Senate and House remain in doubt. I am not convinced that is the best use of money. Daniel Andrews says he has a positive plan for Victoria that includes free kindergarten, . The Australian reports a Newspoll survey of state voting intention in Victoria credits Daniel Andrews' government with a thumping lead of 58-42 on two-party preferred, matching the 57.3-42.7 result in the 2018 election landslide. Two months before the Federal election, the ALP led by Peter Malinauskas won the 2022 South Australian state election beating Premier Steven Marshall and his Liberal Party. 'At first I thought okay at least I can talk about corruption and maybe get people thinking about corruption. Read more: In the rest of the seats, the winning margin was less than 5%. Guardian Australia understands Labors internal party polling is forecasting an overall swing against the government of 4% to 5%, although this would not cost them the election due to the high benchmark set at the 2018 poll. Labor's polling also points to regional areas such as Mildura and Geelong swinging against the government. The Daniel Andrews-led Labor government was returned to power after one term in opposition by winning a majority of seats in the Legislative Assembly at the 2014 state election.The Labor party was decisively re-elected at the 2018 state election with a 5.3% two-party preferred swing, winning 55 seats in the Assembly. Its more about providing a better option for disillusioned electorates, Holmes Court added. Victorias Independent Broad-based Anti-corruption Commission has called for new laws which would make it an offence to publish or leak information from its draft reports. Sportsbet still has Labor tipped to win on Saturday, with odds at about 1.10 for the incumbent party and 6.50 for a Coalition win. When Labor's primary vote dropped in the outer suburbs at the federal election, especially over the COVID response, it did not all go to the Liberals, with much of itflowing back to the ALP on preferences. Please login to engage in the commentary. The party is forecast to lose a dozen seats at this Saturday's Victorian state election - and be forced to rely on the Greens to cling to power. Daily Mail Australia has contacted Daniel Andrews and the Victorian Labor Party seeking comment for this story. says: 28 February, 2023 at 11:18 pm No good ones after Mannix. Only 9% of this age group are happy with the work of Dan Andrews. Democrats will control the Senate regardless of the Georgia runoff result because they will have Vice President Kamala Harris casting vote. daniel andrews house mulgravenixon high school yearbooks daniel andrews house mulgrave. Guardian Essential poll: 64% of young voters would consider backing independents in NSW and Victorian elections, Beware Victorian politicians pledging to cure the health system, Original reporting and incisive analysis, direct from the Guardian every morning. Liberal MPs believe the key is to tap into the "anti-Dan" sentiment, especially in the outer suburbs. Victorian Premier Daniel Andrews says Melbourne is among the great . But the most important reason to take the polls with a grain of salt is that Andrews's recent decisions to end the lockdown, open the borders and remove most restrictions even . The latest poll by Resolve for The Age shows the ALP's primary vote on 38 per cent, the Coalition on . The Essential polling shows support for the project differs by party lines, with 60% of Labor voters supportive and 48% of Coalition voters opposing it. Andrews had 10 points and 11 rebounds. On November 26th, the Victorians will vote to elect the 60th Parliament of Victoria. Nous assistons dsormais une tendance autoritaire et liberticide qui, si elle se poursuit et s'intensifie, pourrait terme tre qualifie de totalitaire. 'When you get down to somewhere above Springvale here you've got a solid Greek community and they have worked all their lives. Reader poll: Vote now for the . Xi had a fairly cordial meeting with US President Joe Biden and Prime Minister Anthony Albanese at the G20 where everyone said they wanted to avoid conflict, but Rudd says it would be a fallacy to assume Xi has abandoned his plan to absorb Taiwan indeed his rhetoric is, in some ways, more hardline than before, Rudd added. The Liberals need to gain a minimum of 18 seats to win power, but these polling numbers will give it confidence that this is possible. We are guided by a deceptively simple, old idea: tell the truth and shame the devil. But 2022 is not 'normal', particularly on the ground in Mulgrave. Andrews, and his advisers, calculate that attacking the PM now (while the full pain of Covid lockdowns is being felt outside Victoria) will play well with Victorian voters. . Former salesman John Mitchell, 82, has lived in Mulgrave for 54 years. The Government have announced an extra $ 74 million on Truancy Officers in an attempt to reel in New Zealand's disastrous truancy rates. The proliferation of upper house groups is explained by Victorias retention of the anti-democratic group voting ticket (GVT) system, under which parties with a very small vote share can win seats if they have the right preference deals. Replies 41 Views 1K. The Labor Party will emerge as the single largest party but is unlikely to get a majority. World Trade Organization director-general Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala will give the 2022 Lowy Lecture at Sydney Town Hall. 59% of those polled by Roy Morgan approve of Dan Andrew is handling his job; As per the latest rating by Resolve Strategic, 46% of Victorians think that Daniel Andrews will be a better Premier. The Liberal Coalition won 27 seats in the last election. Albo told Dutton: Youre better than that. 2022 has been a good year for the Labor Party in Australia. Victorian Premier Daniel Andrews has refused to comment on recent polling which shows him at risk of losing his bid for a third term in office. It comes as Nationals candidate for Narracan Shaun Gilchrist was found dead at the weekend, triggering a failed election in the seat (only upper house ballot papers will be counted on Saturday). This is the highest average candidates per seat recorded for any Australian state or federal election, beating the average 8.0 per seat at the May federal election. 'I promise you 80 percent of Vietnamese people coming through here are voting for us.'. 'If you cut off the head of this hydra, what's left? "I think this is dumb, he is our biggest asset,'' one senior Labor figure said. It's part of the reason that country, regional and teal independents have emerged as genuine contenders. The Premier holds Mulgrave in Melbourne's south-east by a hefty 15.8 per cent margin based on redrawn boundaries. Alex Druce less than 2 min read . According to the Newspoll Rating, 54% of the Victorians are satisfied with the work of Daniel Andrews while 41% considered he could have done better or are not satisfied with his work. r/AustralianPolitics . The red shirts scandal, which continues to plague Mr Andrews, refers to a scheme used in the 2014 election when campaign organisers were employed as casual electorate officers. The Greens seem to be gaining in share. Daniel Andrews and Matthew Guy are due to face off for the second time at the 2022 election. Yet despite these warning signs of . Comic strip creator Scott Adams is facing major backlash following remarks he made calling Black Americans members of a "racist hate group" during an online video show.. A number of prominent . ALP sources acknowledge there are sections of the community with deep hatred for the Premier campaigning is different in 2018 to 2022 due to increased security concerns. It is largely consistent with other polling suggesting the Labor government will secure a third term, he said. The Liberal leader remained positive about the poll results despite being far behind Mr Andrews as the preferred premier. The Victorian election is shaping up to be a fascinating contest between a divisive but still popular Premier Daniel Andrews and a misfiring opposition struggling to make inroads, said Dr Michael Turner, a director at Freshwater Strategy, who was the lead researcher for Scott Morrisons federal election campaigns in 2019 and 2022. But both major parties predict a closer result. But if a week is famously a long time in politics, anything could happen between now and election day on November 26. Caulfield Liberals (Labor due to redistribution), Hastings Liberals (Labor due to redistribution). SMS poll, conducted November 9-10 from a sample of 1,030, gave Labor a 57-43, a 3.5-point gain for the Coalition since the last SMS poll in August. New York Democrats are in disarray. Resolve's poll has Mr Guy trailing behind in the preferred premier stakes, at 34 per cent to the Premiers 48 per cent. Voting ends 2 p.m. Tuesday. Under normal circumstances, the idea of Dan losing his seat is pure fantasy. 14:55 GMT 24 Nov 2022 The first-term incumbent Labor government, led by Premier Daniel Andrews . Instead she proposed as candidates the Istanbul and Ankara mayors, both from the CHP, saying opinion polls showed they would win by a large margin against Erdogan. A bus parked outside the voting centre called on motorists to honk their horn if they agreed. - Part 7. Its new tech, but its an old story: over-spending on cheap (usually borrowed) money crashing into a falling stock market and rising interest rates. Ballot intake stations have been set up inside these early vote sites while they're open for voting: C. Blythe Andrews, Jr. Public Library; Fred B. Karl County Center; Jan Kaminis Platt Regional Library Kentucky State is led by Kong Kong and Jalon Andrews. I'll tell you what: if the head is cut off on Saturday, and he were to lose his seat, he won't be staying in Victoria very long at all, I can tell you,' Mr Kennett said. ALP is likely to win the election by a small margin. Having grown up in Los Angeles competing in a sport . 40% want Dan Andrews as Premier while 28% favor Matt Andrews. What are the Main Concerns of the Voters Voting Against Dan Andrews As per the Latest Survey? Labor won 5 seats with a margin of more than 5% but less than 10%. It should be 10 days a year and enshrined in the Fair Work Act, just like paid family and domestic violence leave, as The Australian ($) reports, though the Australian Workers Union, the Transport Workers Union, the Rail, Tram and Bus Union and the United Workers Union say they know itll be an uphill battle. No . This service may include material from Agence France-Presse (AFP), APTN, Reuters, AAP, CNN and the BBC World Service which is copyright and cannot be reproduced. Mr Andrews also batted off revelations that the steps at the Sorrento beach house where he fell and suffered serious spinal injuries were two wooden steps, only 42cms above a grass lawn. By Callum Godde. Stephen Johnson For Daily Mail Australia Else if there are more than 2 candidates and none gets 50% 1st preference votes, the candidates with few votes are eliminated first and their votes are added to the top two candidates on the basis of their preference. The primary vote were similarly closely matched to the election result, with Labor at 44% (compared with 42.9%), the Coalition at 36% (compared with 35.2%), the . February 26th 2023 at 9:51pm CST by Dana Gauruder. The leader of the Liberal Coalition, Matthew Guy continues to struggle among women, and with more female voters in the voting population, this makes the task that much more difficult. Mr Mitchell said the polling showed Treasurer Tim Pallas could lose his seat of Werribee, which he won with a 9.1 per cent margin in the 2018 election. Two words showed something was wrong with the system, After centuries of Murdaugh rule in the Deep South, the family's power ends with a life sentence for murder, Flooding in southern Malaysia forces 40,000 people to flee homes, When Daniel picked up a dropped box on a busy road, he had no idea it would lead to the 'best present ever', Plans to redevelop 'eyesore' on prime riverside land fall apart as billionaires exit, Labor's pledge for mega koala park in south-west Sydney welcomed by conservation groups, Tom Sizemore, Saving Private Ryan actor, dies aged 61. During her tech . His near-daily appearances are currently outpacing the efforts of his opponent, who's stepped out four times in the past week. Several Liberal candidates this week have ditched the Liberal name from their campaign material but deny they're distancing themselves from themselves. The results indicated a dire outlook for the Premier's chances of retaining his seat, with not a single person questioned by Daily Mail Australia indicating they would vote for Mr Andrews. We can be rid of this government and this premier, but you have to vote Liberal and National to achieve it, he told reporters. Joel Carrett/AAP Image. The latest poll by Resolve for The Age shows the ALP's primary vote on 38 per cent, the Coalition on 31 per cent, the Greens on 12 per cent and independents also on 12 per cent. Are you going to interview the stairs next? Like any opposition, part of its job is to hold the government to account for cost blowouts and integrity scandals (there are plenty of allegations against both sides of politics). Reserve Bank governor Philip Lowe will speak at the CEDA annual dinner held at the Grand Hyatt. Algorand Price Prediction 2023-2030: Will Algorand hit $100? A snapshot of early voters conducted for one of the challengers in Premier Daniel Andrews' seat of Mulgrave suggests there could be a shock upset. Emma Elsworthy is Climate Editor at Crikey, SmartCompany, and The Mandarin, and writes daily morning newsletter the Worm. Its within reach. Jeff Kennett has said that should Mr Andrews lose his own seat, he would be moving to New York. On October 5, 2010 Terace Garnier left Iwakuni Air Station to attend Basic Military Training at Lackland Air Force Base, TX. Dash 2 Trade Price Prediction 2023-2030: Will D2Trade reach $10, Can Terra Luna reach $100 again? He has been the leader of the Victorian branch of the Australian Labor Party (ALP) since December 2010 and a member of the Legislative Assembly (MLA) for the division of Mulgrave since 2002.. Andrews initially worked as a research and political officer . See, Black Hills own the intellectual property rights of this other dinosaur skeleton that was auctioned his name was Stan. Victoria's election is a Daniel Andrews referendum both sides hope it's good for them. Situated just across the highway from Mr Andrews' electoral office, Daily Mail Australia attended the Mulgrave district early voting centre, southeast of Melbourne's CBD, to conduct its own mini-poll of the masses. Author Anne Casey-Hardy will chat about her book, Cautionary Tales for Excitable Girls, at Avid Reader bookshop. Over at Federation Square, Opposition Leader Matthew Guy was struggling to make himself heard at his own press conference as CFMEU protesters gathered outside chanting hands off our jobs. The Liberal Coalition has made some gains but not enough to win the election. The majority of the Victoria residents which is around 59% believed that the state was locked down for too long and restricted too much. The poll also finds Daniel Andrews leading new Liberal leader John Pesutto by 50-26 as preferred premier. Victoria follows a compulsory voting system which means that all eligible citizens need to register and vote in the election. Daniel Andrews' Victorian Labor government will lose three to five seats at the November 26 election but will narrowly hold power as support for Liberal leader Matthew Guy stalls.. A poll of . Jake Andrews, Troy; Malaesala Aumavae-Laulu, Oregon; . Were out there campaigning as hard as we can for a strong, stable Labor majority government.. Sign up to Guardian Australia's Morning Mail, Our Australian morning briefing email breaks down the key national and international stories of the day and why they matter. Labor remains likely to win the election in 12 days. Mr Cook,62,had to close down his family-owned catering business I Cook Foods due to the long-running 'slug gate' scandal, which began when a Greater Dandenong Council health inspector was accused of planting a slug inside the facility. It was jeopardising our copyright and our trademark, Larson declared. Follow and send questions/trade polls to the podcast on . There were 78 recommendations in the report all were accepted by the government which followed five months of gut-wrenching evidence. "Darnell Washington is massive from Georgia," NFL Network draft analyst Daniel Jeremiah said. It will take until December for California to finalise its vote count. 'So out in Mulgrave, there's a whole lot of business people and they are supporting Ian Cook in droves. It is a kind of ranked preferential voting method. Despite the toxic culture, the report said, many Queensland cops did respond appropriately to domestic violence callouts. Terra Luna Price Prediction 2023, 2025, and 2030. With early voting already having opened on Monday, the Victorian premier and Labor are, according to the secret poll, 'very edgy' about a number of key seats, including Mr Andrews' own in Mulgrave, in Melbourne's southeast. The decision, which would push back national polls until 2025 at the earliest, has drawn widespread criticism and questions about the court's authority and why it deemed all election processes . Here's why this scenario is very real. He spends money like there is no tomorrow and our grandkids are going to have an enormous bill to pay off.'. I wouldnt characterise the poll as showing a huge drop in Labor support at this stage, when taking into account that high undecided response. Essential poll. The CFMEU an affiliate union of the Labor Party is urging its members to vote for the Premier even though he is "a prick", because he delivers work for the sector. Standing within the car park outside the centre, Mr Cook quietly greeted every person to walk past him. Strategists from both sides say there is a still a large pile of soft and undecided voters left in Victoria. Librarian Tracy Jenkins admitted she had always voted for Mr Andrews until now. Support was lowest among voters aged 18 to 34, with just 9% of respondents in the age group strongly supportive of the project, compared to 20% in the 35-54 and 55+ groups. Despite all of that, Andrews continues to hold a strong lead over his opponents in polls and he's certainly popular in parts of the state. Daniel Andrews and his government have to go, arguably the most corrupt and incompetent government in the states history if not the countrys history. Christies tried to just go with it, initially adding a note that replica bones had been added to the original bones. Winning Werribee would be a major scalp for the Liberal opposition and its leader Matthew Guy, who is taking on the premier at the November 26 election. Poll; 2022 Federal Election - How will you vote? Polkadot Price Prediction $10000.Polkadot Price Prediction 2023-2030. A year is a long time in politics: Victorian premier Daniel Andrews during a visit to Vestas Wind Systems in Dandenong South yesterday. While lockdown certainly didn't do Mr Andrews any favours with the voter, it was his involvement with several Independent broadbased anticorruption hearings that really got his goat. The result puts Labor-held seats such as Hawthorn, Nepean and Ashwood in play for the Liberals, but they will struggle to make much ground as they face threats from the teals in Caulfield, Brighton and Kew. As the election date has neared, the number of large announcements from the Coalition has slowed. In the case of a Chinese attack on Australian soil, One hundred fast jets to defend the whole of Australia is not remotely excessive, Sheridan warns. The Coalition decided to send preferences to the Greens and put Labor last on its how-to-vote cards in these seats. Samantha Ratnam Greens MLC (NorthernMetropolitian). Since none of the parties or the coalition will be able to cross the 50% mark in the Primary votes, the two-party preferred votes are set to decide the outcome of the election. Murdoch Acknowledges Fox News Hosts Endorsed Election Fraud Falsehoods The conservative media mogul made the remarks under oath last month in a $1.6 billion defamation lawsuit against Fox by Dominion Voting Systems. Rupert Murdoch, chairman of the conservative media empire that owns Fox News Its not just Qatar hoping we now put politics aside. A new poll has Victorian Premier Dan Andrews losing ground to the Liberals' Matthew Guy as preferred premier, and former PM Kevin Rudd warns there are just five years to prevent war with China. 'In Mulgrave, the Premier's seat, they think he will hold on narrowly against independent Ian Cook,' Mitchell said. Premier Annastacia Palaszczuk said she found the report raw and confronting but backed strong woman police commissioner Katarina Carroll, despite the inquiry pointing the finger squarely at senior leadership, as the Brisbane Times reports. Dan Andrews Approval Rating. And in what would be an incredibly lucrative and high-stakes con, Larson was sure Shens owner had bought replica bones to supplement the original bones meaning they would get to keep their dinosaur and eat it, so to speak. This candidates increasingly close relationship with a fringe political party comes as the Victorian Liberal Party faces criticism over candidates with links toextreme organisationsandcomments. Bad polls linger for longer than most would like, but only rarely do leaders grow as conceited as Daniel Andrews. If the Labor Party is able to retain Victoria, this would mean a complete rout of the Liberal party and its coalition in Australia. There will also be 120 independent candidates. Murray-Darling Basin Authority chief executive Andrew McConville will speak to the National Press Club. Crikey is able to be independent because of subscriber support. How Dan Andrews pulled off one of the most remarkable victories in modernpolitics,If the 2018 election, which produced the so-called Danslide, was a disaster for the Liberals, this election amounts to a catastrophe. the Rasmussen poll that Adams was quoting and Twitter boss Elon Musk for seemingly backing Adams. Guy government. All times AEDT (GMT +11). Collectors were holding their breath to bid on the coveted T-rex, named Shen, who was billed as a museum standard world-class specimen. This was equal to Victorian Labor's second-best seat count ever at a state . Help using this website - Accessibility statement. However, Consumer Confidence is a large 10.5pts below the same week a year ago, January 10-16, 2022 (97.9). Nov 25, 2022 - 7.04pm. Here is a list of candidates for mayor and city council. Matthew Guy calls Dan Andrews to congratulate him. But even if there is some frustration with the leader, MPs are reporting that many constituents are telling them that they'll still back the party. . Albanese was referring to the time Dutton was unwittingly recorded in Port Moresby joking about water lapping at your door to then prime minister Tony Abbott.